US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?
Inflation
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes
Resuelto: 11 ene 2024, 15:45
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 147 días
Desactualizado12 dic 23, 19:1311 ene 24, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 0.2 percent (on a seasonally adjusted basis) from November to December 2023 and “No“ otherwise.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS November 2023 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 11, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 0.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt33%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 44,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 116,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,4 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Volumen total
- 6,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,8 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 120,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,8 mil €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Monthly
- 0.4%42.2%
- 0.3%+3.0pt28.4%
- ≥0.5%-11.5pt10.8%
+6 resultados más
- How high will inflation get this year?
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- CPI-U index in August
- US gasoline CPI for August
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- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023??
- Polymarket cotiza Yes al 100% a fecha de 31 de marzo de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023??
- Está previsto que US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? se resuelva el 11 de enero de 2024.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from November to December 2023. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.