PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
June 30 100%+55.5ptLíder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
3,8 M €
Liquidez
3,5 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+60.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 122 días
Desactualizado28 feb 26, 16:3330 jun 26, 23:55
Cronología de Probabilidad
June 30100%
March 10%
March 20%
March 70%
March 150%
March 310%
April 301%
April 150%
April 70%
May 31100%
April 216%
April 240%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
- Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count.
- Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
