Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026
5.5 pts (24h)Latin AmericaOne-OffWeather5d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Colorado 99%+5.5ptLíder entre 40 opciones
Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
7,3 mil €
Liquidez
4,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
9.6 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
24 sept 26, 13:00 UTC1 oct 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 29, 2026?
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KalshiWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for September: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza Colorado al 99% a fecha de 25 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026?
- Está previsto que Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026.