Probabilidad implícita actual
Raphael Glucksmann 66.7%+0.5ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
121,9 €
Liquidez
82,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
11
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
13 jul 26, 23:15 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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PolymarketReglas
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
- If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.