PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 29 oct 2026, 8:26 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
December 31 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
December 31 5%
December 31 5%Calidad del mercado
29 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
17,5 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
December 31Spread
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Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
30 jul 26, 20:02 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
August 31Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · December 31
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Situational Awareness raises new capital by which date?
PolymarketWill Situational Awareness LP raise fresh capital after its July 2026 unwind?
Manifold Markets[Situational awareness] Will pre-2028 LLMs achieve token-output control?
Manifold MarketsWill Situational Awareness be bigger than Citadel by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness announces that it will cease operations, that Situational Awareness LP will be wound down, or that all outside investor capital in Situational Awareness LP will be returned, by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A conversion to a family office or proprietary vehicle, or a distribution of assets in kind to investors, will qualify if all outside investor capital is returned or announced to be returned.
- A transition of all assets to a liquidating trust or special purpose vehicle will qualify if that vehicle is announced to accept no new outside capital.
- A consensus of credible reporting that Situational Awareness has ceased operations, that Situational Awareness LP has been wound down, or that all outside investor capital in Situational Awareness LP has been returned, will also qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The following will not qualify: closing the fund to new investors; redemption gates or suspensions; redemptions made under existing lockup terms; the liquidation of positions, a strategy, or a portfolio without a wind-down of the fund; partial redemptions; or a renamed, successor, continuation, or rollover vehicle that continues to accept outside capital.