PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Luciano Zucco 52.4%+1.5ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
65 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
166,4 €
Liquidez
37,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+2.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
28 may 26, 21:43 UTC4 oct 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)?
Manifold MarketsUT Rio Grande Valley vs Nicholls St.
KalshiReglas
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Rio Grande do Sul Governor winner? · Juliana Brizola 49%
- También disponible en Futuur — Elected governor for Rio Grande do Sul in 2026 · Luciano Zucco 60%