Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónLatin America
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Fujimori 0.2–0.3% (100%)
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actualFujimori 0.2–0.3% 100%+0.5ptLíder entre 23 opciones
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 días
DesactualizadoCronología de Probabilidad
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%100%
Fujimori 1%+1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%21%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%36%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%3%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%15%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%0%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%0%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%0%
Fujimori 0–0.1%0%
Sánchez 0–0.1%1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%9%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%0%
Other3%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%0%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%0%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%0%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 1,1 mil € | 0 € | hace 22 días | |
 Kalshi82% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 94% | — | 0 € | 37,1 mil € | hace 24 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
Cerrados
Resuelto
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3% (94%)
81%
6.9%
5.2%
+7 resultados más
19 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoAlta liquidez
Volumen total76,2 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$5.6k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2shace 25 d
POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2shace 25 dTendencia de volumen
$1.3k2 jul4d de datos5 jul
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The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.