KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Keiko Fujimori, 0-3% (94%)
Resuelto: 3 jul 2026, 19:59
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidad implícita actualKeiko Fujimori, 0-3% 81%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
19 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
37,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 1.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 días
Desactualizado21 may 26, 21:007 jun 27, 14:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Keiko Fujimori, ≥12%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 9-12%8%
Keiko Fujimori, 6-9%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 3-6%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%94%
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%6%
Roberto Sánchez, 3-6%1%
Roberto Sánchez, 6-9%2%
Roberto Sánchez, 9-12%1%
Roberto Sánchez, ≥12%1%
0.9%
6.9%
0.9%
0.9%
81%
5.2%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general82% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 1,1 mil € | 0 € | hace 22 días | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baja | 94% | — | 0 € | 37,1 mil € | hace 24 días |
También disponible en Polymarket
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
0.5 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
0%
+20 resultados más
48 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total2,6 M €
Volumen 24h1,1 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.