PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Republican Party 57%+16.0pt
Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
205,3 €
Liquidez
775,5 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
17.0% / 37.0%
Spread
20.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
10 sept 26, 18:03 UTC4 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?
PolymarketWho will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?
Manifold Markets2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Pennsylvania State Senate in the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Pennsylvania Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Lieutenant Governor's Office as a result of the election.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such President Pro Tempore is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Republican Party es del 54%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 6 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Republican Party 54% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Kalshi — Pennsylvania State Senate winner? · Republican party 54%
