Probabilidad implícita actual
Shankar Balasubramanian 22%Líder entre 30 opciones
Shankar Balasubramanian 22%Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,2 mil €
Liquidez
12,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 40 minutos
6 oct 26, 9:00 UTC8 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Nobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The Nobel Prize in Chemistry is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- The 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry is scheduled to be announced on October 7, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The prize may be shared by up to three laureates.
- A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Nobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026 · Tao Zhang 54%
