PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No release by October 31 22.6%-1.5ptLíder entre 32 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
No release by October 31 22.6%-1.5ptCalidad del mercado
36 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
730,6 €
Liquidez
26,4 mil €
Alta liquidezComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-13.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
22 sept 26, 23:55 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
