PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
October 31 75.5%-14.0ptAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,2 mil €
Liquidez
3,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
4 sept 26, 14:29 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Muse Spark 1.4+ (Meta) release date
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
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- Volumen total
- 467,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 461,8 mil €
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- 160-179+21.0pt60.6%
- 140-159+13.1pt23.2%
- 180-199-24.0pt14.1%
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- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above98%
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
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- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
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- Before March 2027+3.0pt19%
- Before 2027+2.0pt4.3%
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- October 31+5.7pt99%
- December 31+3.0pt99%
- September 15-8.9pt1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza October 31 al 76% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- Está previsto que Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).