PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
November 30 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Referencia guardada
November 30 90%Líder entre 6 opciones
November 30 90%Calidad del mercado
26 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
24,5 €
Liquidez
522,8 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
536 US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
November 30Spread
—
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
4 sept 26, 14:29 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
October 16Perdida
October 31Perdida
September 25Perdida
September 30Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · November 30
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Meta release Muse Spark 1.4 (or any higher-numbered Muse Spark) by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on?
PolymarketNext Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketBTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.