Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?
6.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección4m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Sí · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Referencia guardada
Sí 61%
Sí 61%Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,7 mil €
Liquidez
18,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
1,1 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
SíSpread
—
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
3 nov 26, 23:15 UTC1 abr 27, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · Sí
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill JD Vance ever be president?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics
Manifold MarketsLos Angeles Mayor winner?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom's hourly odds value is higher than JD Vance's hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Candidate" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and April 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Gavin Newsom being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.