PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Republican Party 89%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
24,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
88.0% / 89.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado28 ene 26, 21:423 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 resultados más
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de NC-08 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket cotiza Republican Party al 89% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve NC-08 House Election Winner?
- Está previsto que NC-08 House Election Winner se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida NC-08 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.