PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualRepublican Party 95.9%+0.4ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
952,1 €
Liquidez
23,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
92.9% / 93.1%
Spread
0.2 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-0.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
28 ene 26, 21:413 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Republican Party93%
Comparar plataformas· Republican Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 93% | — | 952,1 € | 23,5 mil € | hace 14 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 96% | — | 659,4 € | 940,6 € | hace 14 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
MS-04 House winner?
0.4 pts1a
-0.4pt97%
3%
58 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoBaja liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total7,9 mil €
Volumen 24h659,4 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1.1k6 jul18d de datos28 jul
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.