Probabilidad implícita actual
Burnham 9%+ 100%+48.0%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
15,1 mil €
Liquidez
35,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+37.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
Tendencias
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Resultado elegido
Burnham 9%+100%
También disponible en Kalshi
Makerfield by-election margin of victory?
17.0%Cerrados
-17.0%1%
+88.0%99%
-20.0%2%
+7 resultados más
32 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total380,5 €
Volumen 24h95,8 €
KALSHIReglas
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.