Este mercado se resolvió: Andy Burnham, ≥15% (99%)
Resuelto: 19 jun 2026, 3:29
Probabilidad implícita actual
Andy Burnham, 3-6% 1%-17.0%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
95,9 €
Liquidez
256,6 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 1.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado26 may 26, 17:0018 jun 27, 14:00
Tendencias
1%
99%
2%
2%
1%
1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
También disponible en Polymarket
Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory
48.0%
+48.0%100%
-13.4%0%
-5.5%0%
+5 resultados más
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total54,1 mil €
Volumen 24h15,1 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Mercados Relacionados
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
3,1 M €Gavin Newsom: 24%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
1,1 M €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
856,6 mil €Jordan Bardella: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot
11,7 mil €Sí: 66.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
10,5 mil €Scott Wiener: 66.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
7,9 mil €Sí: 89.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Moore wins AL GOP runoff; Polymarket sees Fujimori +0.2–0.3% at 93%Blockchain.News
Georgia GOP runoff shock hits Polymarket as Shepherd win odds sink to 0.55%Blockchain.News
Crypto PAC-backed Barry Moore wins Alabama GOP Senate runoffCrypto News
Crypto PAC has $12M stake in Senate primary runoff as Alabama voters head to pollsCointelegraph
IsraelVote Bets Point to Netanyahu Victory Ahead of Next ElectionBlockchain.News
2028 Race Shifts as JD Vance Leads Polymarket Odds despite Market VolatilityBlockchain.NewsReglas
If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.