PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
No 92.1%
No 92.1%Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
9,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
1,5 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 33 minutos
12 feb 26, 22:30 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican Party before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Murkowski win the 2028 US Senate election in Alaska?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Republican party win the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
