Probabilidad implícita actual
2026 28%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
61,9 €
Liquidez
5,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
0.2% / 0.6%
Spread
200.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-1.8%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
11 oct 25, 1:4731 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Resultado elegido
202628%
Mercados Relacionados
Starmer out before July?
9,2 mil €Sí: 17%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
France United Left Primary Winner
2,5 mil €Canceled: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
1,1 mil €December 31,: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
638,2 €PSD: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?
194,8 €Conservatives: 28.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
143,2 €2024: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News
EU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto News
EU Should Focus on Tokenization, Not DeFi, Says MiCA ArchitectBlockchain.News
Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.News
MiCA architect says EU should prioritize tokenization over DeFi rulesCointelegraph
Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsReglas
On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister.
- He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition.
- On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.