Este mercado se resolvió: 1.15–1.19ºC (100%)
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual1.15–1.19ºC 100%+3.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Cambio 7d
-4.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 días
Desactualizado26 may 26, 23:3530 jun 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
1.10–1.14ºC0%
1.25–1.29ºC0%
<1.10ºC0%
>1.29ºC0%
1.20–1.24ºC0%
1.15–1.19ºC100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· 1.15–1.19ºC
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general82% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 99% | — | 11 mil € | 70,3 mil € | hace 10 días | Abrir → |
 PolymarketEsta página | Baja | 100% | — | 2,2 mil € | 0 € | hace 17 días |
También disponible en Kalshi
Jun 2026 temperature increase?
Cerrados
Resuelto
1.03 to 1.09 (99%)
+1.0pt91.7%
1.9%
+1.0pt1.9%
+3 resultados más
38 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoAlta liquidez
Volumen total112,5 mil €
Volumen 24h11 mil €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.2k99.7%POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshabahace 18 d
POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshabahace 18 dTendencia de volumen
$2.5k3 jul8d de datos10 jul
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This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.