KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: 1.03 to 1.09 (99%)
Resuelto: 16 jul 2026, 16:39
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 16 jul 2026, 3:50 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- 1.03 to 1.09
- Registrado
- 17 jul 2026, 18:11
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidad implícita actual1.03 to 1.09 91.7%+1.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
38 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
11 mil €
Liquidez
70,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 100.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 días
Desactualizado27 may 26, 14:0016 jul 26, 3:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
1.02999 or below1%
1.03 to 1.0999%
1.9%
1.9%
1.9%
91.7%
1.9%
0.9%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· 1.03 to 1.09
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 99% | — | 11 mil € | 70,3 mil € | hace 10 días | |
 Polymarket82% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 100% | — | 2,2 mil € | 0 € | hace 17 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.4 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
1.15–1.19ºC (100%)
+3.0pt100%
-0.1pt0%
-2.9pt0%
+3 resultados más
24 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total77,8 mil €
Volumen 24h2,2 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.03-1.09, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.10-1.16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.2k99.7%POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshabahace 18 d
POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshabahace 18 dTendencia de volumen
$12.5k2 jul15d de datos16 jul
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Reglas
If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.03-1.09, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.10-1.16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jun 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.