JD Vance announces a presidential run by which date?
10.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección7m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 4 nov 2026, 22:46 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
June 30, · —
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Referencia guardada
June 30, 47%
June 30, 47%Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,8 mil €
Liquidez
32,7 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
1,7 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
June 30,Spread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado2 nov 26, 20:56 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · June 30,
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D. Vance officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by J.D. Vance will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous.
- Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by J.D. Vance (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.