First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 94%-0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
92.0% / 96.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+12.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
14 ago 26, 21:26 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-04 House election outright in the first round.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
- If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election??
- Polymarket cotiza Yes al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election??
- Está previsto que First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026.