PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No change (100%)
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actualNo change 100%+0.2ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
33,3 M €
Liquidez
15,1 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+0.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 88 días
Desactualizado13 nov 25, 0:4029 abr 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
No change100%
50+ bps decrease0%
decrease0%
increase0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· No change
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 33,3 M € | 15,1 M € | hace 88 días | |
 Manifold Markets87% de coincidencia · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | hace 88 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Fed decision in April?
Cerrados
Resuelto
No change (99%)
99%
0.6%
0.3%
+1 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario26 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.