KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualVolatility 18%+3.0%Líder entre 43 opciones
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
31,3 mil €
Liquidez
92,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
7 jul 26, 22:3030 jul 26, 14:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Volatility18%
Comparar plataformas· Balance Sheet
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 83% | 0pt | 31,3 mil € | 92,5 mil € | hace 24 minutos | |
 Polymarket88% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 85% | +2pt | 8,6 mil € | 135,2 mil € | hace 4 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
2.0%3d
+0.5%85%
82%
78%
+30 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volumen total55,6 mil €
Volumen 24h8,6 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$35.6k8 jul19d de datos26 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
358,3 mil €Fed maintains rate: 78%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
51,2 mil €Sí: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
48 mil €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,6 mil €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
26,1 mil €Above 4.00%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8 mil €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsReglas
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.