Este mercado se resolvió: No change (99%)
Resuelto: 30 abr 2026, 0:07
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No change
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo change 99%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 89 días
Desactualizado11 dic 25, 9:0330 abr 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
50+ bps decrease0.6%
25 bps decrease0.3%
No change99%
25+ bps increase2.8%
0.6%
99%
0.1%
0.3%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· No change
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general87% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 100% | — | 33,4 M € | 15,1 M € | hace 89 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 99% | — | — | — | hace 89 días |
También disponible en Polymarket
Fed decision in April?
0.1 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
No change (100%)
+0.2pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+1 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total211,9 M €
Volumen 24h33,4 M €
POLYMARKETReglas
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the April 2026 FOMC meeting (April 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the April 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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Fed rate hike by which date?
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POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
87,9 €0 (0 bps): 85.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
87,9 €Sí: 15.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
82,4 €Above 6.9%: 49%
KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the April 2026 FOMC meeting (April 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the April 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm