PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%+0.2pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.3% / 4.8%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
3
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketClavicular sentenced to prison?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
Polymarket[Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Manifold MarketsWill Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Don Lemon is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges related to his arrest on January 30, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Don Lemon is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
- If at any point all charges against Don Lemon for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Volumen total
- 12,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,2 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+1.0pt33%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt93%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETSB Energy IPO by which date?
- December 31+39.0pt89%
- October 31+24.5pt76%
- September 30+16.0pt63%
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt67%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt50%
- Before May 1, 2027+1.0pt50%
+8 resultados más
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Don Lemon sentenced to prison??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Don Lemon sentenced to prison??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Don Lemon is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges related to his arrest on January 30, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.