PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 96.9%-0.5ptAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
25,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
2.0% / 3.2%
Spread
1.2 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado28 ene 26, 16:083 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 180,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 945,4 mil €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 601 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 resultados más
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de CA-43 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket cotiza Democratic Party al 97% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve CA-43 House Election Winner?
- Está previsto que CA-43 House Election Winner se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida CA-43 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.