PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Republican Party 93.9%
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
215 €
Liquidez
34,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
93.1% / 93.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
28 ene 26, 6:28 UTC3 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Volumen total
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- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de CA-23 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket cotiza Republican Party al 94% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve CA-23 House Election Winner?
- Está previsto que CA-23 House Election Winner se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida CA-23 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.