Probabilidad implícita actual
Karol Nawrocki 100%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
21 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaTraders
1,777
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado28 may 25, 10:211 jun 25, 5:00
Tendencias
100%
0%
0%
Reglas
Poland is set for a closely watched presidential runoff on June 1, with the named outcome and the named outcome emerging as the main contenders after a tight first round.
- Who will be officially named the winner of Poland’s 2025 Presidential Election?
- The market will resolve based solely on the first official announcement of the winner by the Polish National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW).
- Only the PKW’s official declaration of the winner will be used to determine the outcome, regardless of any subsequent recounts, legal challenges, or media reports.
- **Market Dates**
- - Market closing: June 1, 2025, at 7:00 am CET, before the official results are expected to be announced. - Resolution time: The market will resolve once the PKW makes its first official announcement of the winner.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+82.0pt85.3%
- Darline Graham, 6-9%-12.0pt0.9%
- Darline Graham, 9-12%-8.0pt0.9%
+15 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.5pt77%
- October 31+13.5pt60%
- September 30+11.0pt41%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt18.6%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.6%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.8%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 9,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 862,2 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.2%
- Republican Party14.8%
- Volumen total
- 21,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 476,1 mil €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt21%
- Jon Ossoff15%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Brazil Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who wins Poland’s Presidential Election??
- Myriad cotiza Karol Nawrocki al 100% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who wins Poland’s Presidential Election??
- Está previsto que Who wins Poland’s Presidential Election? se resuelva el 1 de junio de 2025.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who wins Poland’s Presidential Election??
- Myriad liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Poland is set for a closely watched presidential runoff on June 1, with the named outcome and the named outcome emerging as the main contenders after a tight first round.