Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 95%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado22 ene 25, 16:09 UTC29 ene 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
[image]This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66.3%
- No change-2.0pt32.7%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 11,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.1pt91.1%
- Republican Party8.9%
- Volumen total
- 32,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 849,7 mil €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.9pt14%
+50 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Volumen total
- 9,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 572,5 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 3177%
- December 31+3.3pt62%
- November 3048%
+20 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-0.1pt51%
- Marco Rubio15%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
- Texas Senate winner?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Years from now, will it "come out that J.D. Vance was paying male hookers"??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 25 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Years from now, will it "come out that J.D. Vance was paying male hookers"??
- Está previsto que Years from now, will it "come out that J.D. Vance was paying male hookers"? se resuelva el 29 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Years from now, will it "come out that J.D. Vance was paying male hookers"??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: [image]This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky.