Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado27 ene 26, 18:11 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Context: Zhang Youxia was a highly ranked Chinese general in the People's Liberation Army who recently disappeared from the public eye due to a corruption investigation.
- Resolves YES if he is confirmed to be alive and not in prison at any time before 2027.
- Resolves NO if he remains in prison or "disappeared" throughout all of 2026.
- Resolves NO if he is dead.
- Resolves NO if no new information about his whereabouts is revealed.
Mercados abiertos
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- October 31-2.2pt96%
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- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Context: Zhang Youxia was a highly ranked Chinese general in the People's Liberation Army who recently disappeared from the public eye due to a corruption investigation.