Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 74.3%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado30 nov 23, 0:51 UTC1 ene 28, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsPutin, Xi Jinping, or Kim Jong Un out by 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030
SmarketsHow many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Both positions, through 2027
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 74% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Both positions, through 2027