Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 94.1%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado5 oct 23, 23:08 UTC31 dic 28, 14:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Xi Jinping leave China in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping meet Vladimir Putin before Christmas Eve 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave office in 2026?
FutuurXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
Will he leave China (area of control at the time) from Jan 1 2026 to Dec 31 2028?
- i.e. if the PRC still controls HK, then it wouldn't count as leaving.
- If it controls Taiwan, that would not count as leaving either.
- The point is if he goes to a region which another independent government controls.
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,7 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volumen total
- 356,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11 mil €
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028??
- Está previsto que Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will he leave China (area of control at the time) from Jan 1 2026 to Dec 31 2028?