Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 97.8%
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado3 feb 23, 2:44 UTC31 dic 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030?
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PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiReglas
Contact has to be definitive.
Mercados abiertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
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+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 226,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
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- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 resultados más
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KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
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POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
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- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050??
- Está previsto que Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Contact has to be definitive.