Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 77.1%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado19 ago 26, 10:02 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a Metal Gear Solid movie release by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy reveal "Gear 6" or a new major physical transformation in One Piece by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy find the One Piece in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, in the official canonical One Piece manga written by Eiichiro Oda, Luffy achieves or uses a transformation explicitly named "Gear 6", "Gear Sixth", or "Gear VI" (or the Japanese equivalent such as ギア6 / ギアセクス / ギア シックス) before the series officially concludes.
- If the One Piece manga ends without Luffy ever using a transformation officially designated as "Gear 6" (or its equivalents), this market will resolve to NO.
- Resolution Details:
- Source of Truth: Official Shueisha Weekly Shonen Jump releases and/or official One Piece manga volume tankōbon.
- Anime-only episodes, non-canon movies, video games, promotional materials, or fan works do not count toward a YES resolution.
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 342,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 91,2 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 90,8 mil €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 resultados más
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 264,6 mil €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 84,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 77% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series??
- Está previsto que Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria