Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 20:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 82.9%
No 82.9%Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado30 nov 23, 23:42 UTC15 dic 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will we get AGI before September 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill it be found out by 2052 that a human clone was created before September 5th, 2022, that lived for at least 9 months after conception?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiOpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiOpenRouter AI token usage in October
KalshiReglas
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as true if such a system is created before September 15th 2027
- Here are markets with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-august-15th