Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.7%
Pronosticadores
225
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 39 minutos
29 oct 22, 4:57 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
2023-02-15 Update: Resolves positively if, by the end of 2027, Twitter has incorporated prediction market services into their platform.
- Can resolve positively early if Twitter incorporates prediction market functionality ahead of the closing date.
- Events that make a positive resolution likely:
- Functionality is added such that, in addition to Tweets or alongside a Tweet, users or organizations can create public or private markets (using play or real currency) on questions about future events
- Twitter refers to a new capability as a "prediction market"
- A service of Twitter's looks and feels like Manifold / PredictIt / PolyMarket's UX