Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.9%
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 41 minutos
20 ago 25, 9:48 UTC20 ago 27, 9:47 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the first Manifold user to wear the crown?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
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KalshiRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if a reliable source reports that Trump wears a crown during his period as head of state (this may extend beyond his current term as president if he retains power).
- Resolves NO if Trump leaves office without wearing a crown.
- Update 2025-08-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Expansive definition: Includes crown-like headpieces (e.g., coronets).
- Excludes: Cheap costume or gimmick crowns.
- Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A proper replica of a real historical crown would count for resolution
Mercados abiertos
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
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- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 693 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 resultados más
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POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Yes-2.0pt14%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump Wear a Crown??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 81% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump Wear a Crown??
- Está previsto que Will Trump Wear a Crown? se resuelva el 20 de agosto de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump Wear a Crown??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if a reliable source reports that Trump wears a crown during his period as head of state (this may extend beyond his current term as president if he retains power).