Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 80.8%
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 50 minutos
Retrasado2 ene 25, 10:20 UTC1 ene 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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FutuurReglas
According to the U.S. Constitution, presidential terms begin on January 20th following an election and last exactly 4 years.
- If Donald is inaugurated as the 47th president on January 20, 2025, his term would end on January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on January 1, 2029.
- This market will resolve NO if Trump is inaugurated but no longer in office on January 1, 2029
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 81% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029??
- Está previsto que Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: According to the U.S. Constitution, presidential terms begin on January 20th following an election and last exactly 4 years.