Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 63%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado17 sept 26, 4:52 UTC30 abr 27, 4:51 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsIn Jan 2027, Building Effective Altruism (or similar) will be on 80,000 hours top priority list
Manifold MarketsEffective Altruism stock [permanent]
Manifold MarketsWill the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump say in November?
KalshiWhat will Trump say in November?
PolymarketReglas
Update 2026-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Referring to effective altruists as a group will count for a YES resolution.