Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.8%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado9 dic 25, 5:22 UTC28 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Federal employees at EOY 2026?
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PolymarketReglas
2025 saw unprecedented impacts to the federal workforce.
- Will 2026 bring similar results?
- I will subtract the January 2026 reading of federal employee count from the January 2027 reading using the FRED federal employee counts given here:
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001
- If the difference exceeds 100,000 the answer resolves yes, and no otherwise.