Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 85.9%
Pronosticadores
44
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 23, 18:49 UTC1 ene 31, 18:29 UTC
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiReglas
Popular - subjective.
- I'll clarify the criteria as things unfold.
- The idea is that if you can give image inputs to GPT-4 and get back natural language description of the scene, and you can use the description to do task planning, etc, then integration into a smart glasses which processes things you see in real time, it could be v valuable even in jobs which don't directly require one to work with computers, or aren't easily automated (i think the phrase is blue collar work is the phrase, but I'm not familiar with it).
- The integration doesn't have to output text to the smartglasses screen.
- It could take a sequence of actions, have voice integration, or produce outputs in other modalities or forms.
- Something like huggingGPT would also work.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,1 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 resultados más
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 44,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 86% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030??
- Está previsto que Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Popular - subjective.