Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 21:13 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 79.9%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado24 mar 24, 8:43 UTC1 ene 27, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI-powered trader on Manifold in the top 20 profit leaderboard by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketReglas
Will a consumer smartphone be brought to market by 2027 (Dec 31 2026) that is built from the ground up with generative AI features?
- Requirements:
- Runs an LLM locally.
- Voice input to activate AI assistant.
- AI call transcription, voice recording and summarizing capabilities.
- AI search runs on notes, photo gallery, files, etc.