Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 5:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 73.8%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado31 ago 26, 4:10 UTC3 nov 26, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Colorado Amendment 84 (ID requirement for mail ballots) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Idaho Proposition 1 (reproductive freedom and privacy act) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Washington Initiative IP26-645 (income tax repeal and prohibition) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Colorado Amendment 82 (constitutional right to natural gas) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsHouse favorite on November 2 wins the election?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiReglas
After recounts, will there be a tie in a federal, statewide, or state legislative election?
- Update 2026-08-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For multi-member New Hampshire House districts, only ties for the cutoff (determining who gets elected) will count towards resolution.