Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 88.9%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado10 jul 26, 2:19 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Guess if more than one sitting member of Congress no longer be alive before the end of the day December 31, 2026?
- Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only deaths occurring from the market posting date onward will count toward resolution.
- Deaths that occurred before the market was created (e.g., Doug LaMalfa and David Scott) are not included.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a death of more than one member of Congress in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a death of more than one member of Congress in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will there be a death of more than one member of Congress in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a death of more than one member of Congress in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Guess if more than one sitting member of Congress no longer be alive before the end of the day December 31, 2026?