Will there be a death of more than one member of Congress in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 69.3%
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13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado10 jul 26, 2:19 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Guess if more than one sitting member of Congress no longer be alive before the end of the day December 31, 2026?
- Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only deaths occurring from the market posting date onward will count toward resolution.
- Deaths that occurred before the market was created (e.g., Doug LaMalfa and David Scott) are not included.
