Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65.4%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado18 jul 26, 10:36 UTC31 dic 76, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a data center on the planet Venus by 2127?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a data center on the moon Europa by EOY 2066?
Manifold MarketsWhen will there be an exabyte or more data stored on the planet Mars?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Data center: a facility designed to produce surplus compute or data storage and retrieval for arbitrary tasks.
- Tasks could be local, such as orchestrating many remote robots across the planet.
- Designs limited to only some kinds of tasks, hindering flexible usage as expected on Earth, would strain the definition.
- Update 2026-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The data center does not need to meet a minimum size or power threshold.
- Quality of capability matters, not quantity.
- The Martian data center should be able to perform the same kinds of tasks as terrestrial data centers, though potentially more slowly.
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,7 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volumen total
- 101,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,5 mil €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a data center on the planet Mars by EOY 2076??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a data center on the planet Mars by EOY 2076??
- Está previsto que Will there be a data center on the planet Mars by EOY 2076? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2076.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a data center on the planet Mars by EOY 2076??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Data center: a facility designed to produce surplus compute or data storage and retrieval for arbitrary tasks.