¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 82% a fecha de 30 de octubre de 2026.

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 82%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 23 horas

Desactualizado

2 mar 24, 10:09 UTC1 ene 40, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

The goal is to predict when the adoption S-curve of share of electric car sales will reach its steepest point.

This will be based on the data provided by OurWorldInData.
The current graph is shown below:
[image]The steepest point is currently 2020-2021 (9% - 4%) = 5%. 2021-2022 has achieved the same steepness.
The final change that will be included in the resolution is 2029-2030.
If this change or any of the previous changes is the largest over the entire curve the market will resolve YES.