Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 52.8%
Pronosticadores
324
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado21 abr 23, 20:36 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the global share of new cars sold that are electric by:
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
KalshiReglas
This question will resolve as YES if more than 50% of new cars sold worldwide in the year 2030 are electric.
- The source for determining the percentage of electric cars sold will be the International Energy Agency (IEA) annual report on electric vehicles.
- The report will be released in 2031 and will provide data on the percentage of electric cars sold in 2030.
- This question does not include hybrid cars, only fully electric cars.
- The question does not consider any potential changes in regulations or government policies that may affect the sales of electric cars.
- This question does not consider any potential changes in consumer behavior or technology development that may affect the sales of electric cars.
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question will resolve as YES if more than 50% of new cars sold worldwide in the year 2030 are electric.