¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How long will my career be??

Manifold Markets cotiza 2036-2045 al 13% a fecha de 19 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve How long will my career be??

Está previsto que How long will my career be? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2100.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

2036-2045 13%

Líder entre 8 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 21 minutos

16 mar 26, 4:47 UTC2 ene 00, 4:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolves to the date where I stop working because my job has been completely automated and don't find another job within 1.5 years.

If I have the skillset to be employed, but am not because supply >> demand, then this doesn't resolve.
If I am not automated by 2100, or if I retire having worked my whole career, this resolves no.
I am a class of 2026 math and CS graduate from a top 25 uni globally.
My uni has one of the best AI programs in the world.
I currently have two job offers, one to work in AI safety and one in quant trading.